Pisa
Parma
Udinese
Genoa
Torino
AC Milan
Osasuna
Levante
Wolves
Manchester UnitedToday’s double-chance slate reads like a quiet referendum on home resilience versus away protection. The strongest lean sits with the X2 in Torino vs AC Milan at 93.5%, and again with Wolves vs Manchester United at 89.0%. The rest of the board tilts 1X, but with far lighter conviction: Pisa vs Parma (69.5%), Udinese vs Genoa (64.0%), and Osasuna vs Levante (53.0%). It’s a day where the market is firmly protecting the away sides in the late kick-offs, while offering only modest cover for home teams earlier on.
Overall picture: double-chance leanings for today
The pattern is clear: two primetime fixtures are strongly priced against a home upset (X2), while the earlier matches cluster around 1X with decreasing confidence as the evening approaches. The notable split between the 90%+ and 50–70% ranges tells its own story: away-sided security is the anchor, and the home-shaded plays are framed as insurance rather than conviction.
| Competition | Fixture | Double chance | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A predictions | Torino vs AC Milan | X2 | 93.5% |
| Premier League predictions | Wolves vs Manchester United | X2 | 89.0% |
| Serie A predictions | Pisa vs Parma | 1X | 69.5% |
| Serie A predictions | Udinese vs Genoa | 1X | 64.0% |
| La Liga predictions | Osasuna vs Levante | 1X | 53.0% |
For deeper angles on these same fixtures and how they interact across the board, see .
Heavy away protection: two late X2 anchors
The late window leans hard toward the away-safe side. The model’s 93.5% for X2 in Torino vs AC Milan signals minimal appetite for a home victory, while the 89.0% in Wolves vs Manchester United points to a similar distrust of a home win. As double-chance positions, both are framed as “don’t lose” outcomes for the travelling teams rather than bold calls on outright away wins.
| Competition | Fixture | Double chance | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A predictions | Torino vs AC Milan | X2 | 93.5% |
| Premier League predictions | Wolves vs Manchester United | X2 | 89.0% |
In practical terms, these two fixtures define the day’s risk profile: they are the most heavily protected outcomes in the market and will naturally attract conservative double-chance plays. If either home side turns the match into a volatile contest early on, that comfort disappears quickly—but on paper, the safety-first stance is unmistakable.
Home-side safety nets: cautious 1X angles
Earlier kick-offs lean toward the home-shaded double chance, but with lower conviction and a noticeable gradient. Pisa vs Parma at 69.5% is the strongest of the trio, Udinese vs Genoa sits at 64.0%, and Osasuna vs Levante drops to 53.0%—barely above a coin flip. These are not “home banker” signals; they read more like pragmatic hedges against an away surge rather than a ringing endorsement of the hosts.
| Competition | Fixture | Double chance | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A predictions | Pisa vs Parma | 1X | 69.5% |
| Serie A predictions | Udinese vs Genoa | 1X | 64.0% |
| La Liga predictions | Osasuna vs Levante | 1X | 53.0% |
The conservative reading is straightforward: if these games drift into tight battles, 1X does its job. If the visitors carry more initiative than expected, the thin margins—especially at 53.0%—will be exposed.
Timing and balance: how the slate unfolds through the day
An orderly schedule offers a natural cadence: a mid-afternoon start with the firmer 1X, a steady early-evening 1X, then the two late X2 anchors plus a final 1X option in Spain. The structure invites a measured approach: the market’s highest confidence is clustered at night, while the daytime asks for more tolerance of variance.
| Time | Competition | Fixture | Double chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Serie A predictions | Pisa vs Parma | 1X |
| 18:00 | Serie A predictions | Udinese vs Genoa | 1X |
| 20:45 | Serie A predictions | Torino vs AC Milan | X2 |
| 21:00 | La Liga predictions | Osasuna vs Levante | 1X |
| 21:00 | Premier League predictions | Wolves vs Manchester United | X2 |
Scenarios and what they mean for double chance
- If the late games stay controlled and low on chaos, the X2 anchors (93.5% and 89.0%) do the heavy lifting for conservative bettors; a single upset would still sting given the weight of those leans.
- If the afternoon fixtures become attritional and territorial, 1X protection makes sense; the 69.5% and 64.0% reads cover stalemates and narrow home edges.
- If the visiting sides in the 1X cluster seize early initiative, the weaker 53.0% on Osasuna vs Levante is the first to be tested.
- In a high-variance day with early goals, the comfort of X2 is still conditional; the shape of the match matters more than the badge on the away shirt.
No certainties here—just a board that clearly privileges away-side protection in the evening and asks you to treat the home-shaded 1X picks as insurance rather than bravado. How the first 20 minutes look in each match will likely tell you which side of double chance is earning its keep.