The Bundesliga fixtures continue as Borussia Mönchengladbach host RB Leipzig on 28 November 2025 (15:00 UTC). The numbers on paper set up a straightforward story: a club fighting for stability at the lower end of the table against a high-scoring visitor that has turned form into momentum.
Where the teams stand
Borussia Mönchengladbach arrive with just 12 points from 11 games (3 wins, 3 draws, 5 defeats) and a -3 goal difference (16 scored, 19 conceded). Their season has been uneven — a handful of encouraging attacking flashes but defensive fragility that shows in an above-average rate of goals conceded (min/goal against 52.1 in the season sample).
RB Leipzig sit significantly higher: 25 points from 11 matches (8 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats), +9 goal difference (22 scored, 13 conceded). Their attacking profile is pronounced — 65 shots on target this season and a shot conversion around 34% — and they typically start fast (top-minute window 0–15 for goals, 24% of their strikes).
| Season snapshot | Borussia Mönchengladbach MOE | RB Leipzig LEI |
|---|---|---|
| Games (W–D–L) | 11 (3–3–5) | 11 (8–1–2) |
| Goals For–Against | 16–19 | 22–13 |
| Points | 12 | 25 |
| Goal difference | -3 | +9 |
Recent form and mood
The last five results underline the gulf. Borussia Mönchengladbach have suffered heavy defeats — a 0–3 loss to 1. FC Heidenheim and a 0–4 reverse against FC St. Pauli — but can also show pockets of resilience with wins such as 3–1 versus 1. FC Köln. Their recent five-match sample highlights an improved attacking output (sample GF: 14) but an inconsistent defensive record (min/goal against jumps between samples).
RB Leipzig come in on the back of convincing victories: a 6–0 demolition at FC Augsburg and a 4–1 win at Energie Cottbus are among the results that underline their offensive threat. More recently they recorded a 2–0 scoreline away at Werder Bremen and have shown a pattern of scoring early and often.
| Last 5 — key trends | M’gladbach MOE | RB Leipzig LEI |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS (last 5 sample) | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 (last 5) | 80% | 80% |
| Scored first (last 5) | 100% | 100% |
| Min/goal (for, last 5) | 32.1 | 28.1 |
Who has the edge?
Tactically, the simplest reading is that RB Leipzig win most of their matches by imposing their attacking tempo early — the data shows a concentration of goals in the opening quarter and a healthy shots-on-target total (65 this season). Borussia Mönchengladbach have improved their finishing at times (a high shot-conversion figure in their five-match sample), but their defensive inconsistency — demonstrated by several heavy defeats — leaves them vulnerable to a side that punishes mistakes.
| Offensive snapshot | M’gladbach MOE | RB Leipzig LEI |
|---|---|---|
| Shots on target (season) | 54 | 65 |
| Shot conversion (season) | 30% | 34% |
| Top minute window | 76–90 | 0–15 |
Market signals and expectations
Betting markets and prediction engines (as aggregated here) give RB Leipzig a narrow favourites’ edge: a 53% chance to win, while the match is also flagged as likely to produce goals — over 2.5 is set at about 65% and BTTS at 60%. Those figures reflect Leipzig’s firepower and Gladbach’s propensity to be involved in open games.
| Market indicators | M’gladbach MOE | RB Leipzig LEI |
|---|---|---|
| Match-winner probability (market) | — | 53% |
| Over 2.5 (market) | 65% (match) | 65% (match) |
| BTTS — Yes (market) | 60% | 60% |
What to watch during the match
- Gladbach’s defensive setup: if they can’t close gaps early, Leipzig will exploit the space and test their previously secure clean-sheet numbers.
- Leipzig’s first 20 minutes: the visiting side’s tendency to score early (season top-minute window 0–15) could decide the emotional tenor of the match.
- Set-piece and late goals: Gladbach’s top minute window (76–90) suggests they still find chances late — an equaliser or consolation could come at the death if Leipzig switch off.
Possible outcomes and consequences
A RB Leipzig win would underline their credentials as one of the league’s more consistent attacking sides and extend their cushion in the table; they are the clearer, more clinical team on the evidence. A Borussia Mönchengladbach victory, however, would be a statement that their attack can outgun stronger sides and would relieve pressure on a squad that has shown alarming defensive dips. A draw would suit neither narrative: it would leave Gladbach continuing to search for stability and Leipzig potentially criticised for failing to turn dominance into three points away from home.
Expect an open game with goal potential — the data points to at least one end being breached. How Gladbach manage the early phases will likely determine whether this ends as a high-scoring test or a disciplined Leipzig triumph.