Sevilla host Real Betis on Sunday 30 November (15:15) in a tie that promises contention more than confidence. Sevilla arrive with a modest return from 13 league games — 16 points, 19 goals scored and 21 conceded (GD −2) — and a run of mixed results that has left the club outside the top third of the table. Betis, while represented in these statistics by their European form in the dataset, bring momentum from a compact schedule: their continental group position shows consistency (P5 W3 D2 L0, GF 8, GA 3).
Head-to-head snapshot
The derby has produced tight games: over the recent sample Sevilla have nudged ahead on goals (11–8) and more wins in the period covered. Betis, however, arrive as the narrow market favourite in the preview data — the model gives Real Betis a 37% chance of victory — and the numbers point to goals: the suggested BTTS probability is high.
| Indicator |  Sevilla SEV |  Real Betis BET |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (recent H2H sample) | 11 | 8 |
| Wins (recent H2H sample) | 4 (40%) | 2 (20%) |
| Clean sheets (recent H2H) | 4 | 1 |
Recent head-to-head results
The derby has produced few runaway scorelines — recent matches have been decided by one-goal margins or ended level. Below are the latest fixtures between the two sides (most recent first in the dataset).
| Date | Fixture | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2025 | Sevilla v Real Betis | 1–0 |
| 06 Oct 2024 | Real Betis v Sevilla | 1–1 |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Sevilla v Real Betis | 1–1 |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Sevilla v Real Betis | 1–0 |
| 03 Aug 2023 | Sevilla v Real Betis (friendly) | 0–0 |
Offensive profiles — how the teams create
Both clubs show different attacking signatures in the data. Sevilla have produced more shots on target across the sample and their goals are skewed late in games; Betis’ scoring sample in the provided dataset is smaller but shows a distinct tendency to score in the first half window highlighted.
| Offensive stat | Sevilla SEV | Real Betis BET |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for (sample) | 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target | 44 | 22 |
| Shot conversion | 43% | 36% |
| Top scoring window | 76–90 (28%) | 31–45 (43%) |
Recent form — last five matches (quick reference)
Form tells two different stories. Sevilla’s list shows too many narrow defeats and only occasional recovery; Betis’ most recent sequence in the dataset mixes draws and competitive European outings, reflecting a side that is hard to beat but not yet rampant.
| Match | Sevilla SEV | Real Betis BET |
|---|---|---|
| Most recent | Espanyol 2–1 Sevilla (24 Nov 2025) | Utrecht 2–1 Real Betis (27 Nov 2025) |
| Prior | Osasuna 1–0 Sevilla (08 Nov 2025) | Girona 1–1 Real Betis (23 Nov 2025) |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid 3–0 Sevilla (01 Nov 2025) | Valencia 1–1 Real Betis (09 Nov 2025) |
| 4 | Toledo 1–4 Sevilla (28 Oct 2025) | Lyon 2–0 Real Betis (06 Nov 2025) |
| 5 | Real Sociedad 2–1 Sevilla (24 Oct 2025) | Mallorca 3–0 Real Betis (02 Nov 2025) |
What to expect and three scenarios
The market model in the dataset leans slightly towards Real Betis (37% win probability) while flagging goals: BTTS is shown at 81% and the Over 2.5 line is essentially coin-flip territory (51%). That combination — a narrow Betis edge and strong BTTS signal — frames the game as likely open rather than cagey.
Three plausible outcomes and their implications:
- Sevilla win: Would arrest a worrying run of league form and validate home advantage; it would be a reminder that Sevilla still have the firepower to win tight postcodes of the season.
- Real Betis win: Would reinforce their momentum from the season’s broader schedule and underline the model’s preference; it would also expose Sevilla’s defensive fragility in high-stakes domestic duels.
- Draw: The likeliest compromise for an evenly matched derby — preserves Betis’ unbeaten-ish continental shape while leaving Sevilla under pressure to convert home games into points.
In short: expect chances and goals. Sevilla must tighten at the back; Betis need to turn resilient results into a statement away performance. The statistics point to an open game where margins and finishing will decide the derby’s mood.