Bournemouth vs Everton: head to head & Predictions (02 Dec)

Bournemouth host Everton on 2 December 2025 (20:00 GMT) in a fixture that reads like a mid-table grudge match more than a headline-grabber. The numbers suggest a narrow balance across 13 league games: Bournemouth sit on 19 points (21 goals scored, 23 conceded) and Everton on 18 points (14 scored, 17 conceded). On form and recent meetings, however, the advantage belongs to the home side.

Season snapshot

Form, trends and what the stats say

These teams approach the game with different profiles. Bournemouth score more frequently (season average ~1.7 per match) and show a high rate of matches with goals late in the game — their top minute window for goals is 76–90 (33%). Everton are more conservative offensively (around 0.9 per match) and rely less on late flurries; their top window is 16–30 (21%). The market model on Kickwie gives Bournemouth a small edge (41% chance to win) while predicting a tight, low-scoring contest overall (under 2.5 goals marginally favoured at 51%).

Offensive and defensive angles

Bournemouth’s season numbers show a team that gets forward regularly (65 shots on target across the campaign) and converts a high percentage of chances — their shot conversion sits at 32% for the season. Everton, conversely, have fewer shots on target (38) but a slightly higher conversion rate (37%), which suggests they can be efficient when they create clear chances.

History and psychological edge

Across recent head-to-heads Bournemouth have had Everton’s number. In the last 10 meetings Bournemouth account for 21 goals and eight wins; Everton managed nine goals and two wins. That historical dominance matters in tight games — it breeds belief at the Vitality and extra scrutiny for Everton on the road.

Context, distractions and narratives

Off-field noise could play a role. Media snippets in recent days include transfer speculation linking Antoine Semenyo (listed as a Bournemouth forward in reports) to interest from Manchester City, while Everton have reportedly turned down offers for winger Iliman Ndiaye. That kind of transfer talk can lift individual players — or destabilise squads — depending on how managers handle it.

Everton have also received positive club-level coverage for unveiling a bench in memory of Gary Speed, an act the club says is intended to encourage openness on mental health. It is a humane and meaningful gesture, and one that can galvanise dressing-room unity; the question is whether it translates to a performance lift on the pitch.

Market signals and likely scenarios

Kickwie’s market indicators show Bournemouth as the slightly more likely winner (41%), but they also flag a tight game: under 2.5 goals sits at 51%, and BTTS is still a live possibility (BTTS: YES 56%). That combination points to a match where Bournemouth’s attacking edge meets Everton’s capacity to punish mistakes on the break.

• If Bournemouth win: it underlines the recent head‑to‑head pattern and would ease pressure on the home side to climb away from the mid-table congestion.
• If Everton take points: it will be a statement about their resilience on the road and a sign that recent low scoring can be overcome with clinical finishing.
• A draw (and a low-scoring one) would be the most likely stable outcome — both teams have defensive vulnerabilities and neither has been consistently prolific this season.

On balance the preview tilts toward a narrow Bournemouth edge but not a runaway. Expect a competitive match, with late goals possible — Bournemouth have shown a habit of deciding tight games late — while Everton will look to be efficient with the chances they create.