Everton vs Nottingham Forest head to head & Predictions (06 Dec)

Everton welcome Nottingham Forest to Goodison Park on Saturday with both sides carrying recent storylines that cut in very different directions: Everton steadying themselves with tough away clean sheets, Forest flickering between big wins and abrupt setbacks. The frame is a low-scoring contest, but the margins in this fixture have a habit of swinging late.

Table picture and current pulse

Fourteen games in, the hosts sit ahead on points and have been more consistent in the league grind. Forest, meanwhile, remain volatile but dangerous — the kind of profile that can surprise on the day and frustrate a week later.

Everton’s recent run includes 1-0 away wins at Bournemouth and Manchester United, the latter reinforcing their capacity to suffer and then strike. Forest’s last fortnight has been a rollercoaster: defeat to Brighton and a heavy loss away to Malmo were bookended by a clinical 3-0 at Liverpool and a hard-nosed 1-0 at Wolves, where Igor Jesus delivered his first Premier League goal, as highlighted by BBC coverage.

Head-to-head: tight margins and late swings

The recent history leans Everton’s way, though it has ebbed back and forth. The head-to-head summary across this run notes the Toffees with more wins and clean sheets, and most games have been decided by a single moment.

Across this sequence, Everton’s edge shows up in the aggregates — more wins and three clean sheets — yet Forest’s 2-0 at Goodison last season is a timely reminder of how quickly this fixture can flip.

Form guide: the last five at a glance

Everton’s five-game snapshot mixes resilience with vulnerability: two superb away wins, a damaging home defeat and a split of the rest. Forest’s line is erratic but with a high ceiling — that Liverpool statement stands out, while Wolves away showcased game management.

The numbers likely to shape the game

Everton’s season profile points to efficiency more than volume; Forest’s to volume more than ruthlessness. That contrast often turns this matchup into a question of first goal and patience.

Discipline and set-plays could carry weight. Forest generate more corners on average, while Everton take more cards — a small signal that territory and pressure may ebb and flow with Forest’s spells but the hosts often win the dark arts.

Model view and match tempo

The Kickwie model edges the hosts and tilts towards a low total and one-sided scoring — a portrait of a game where the first strike matters disproportionately. For a broader view around this fixture as part of the weekend slate, Kickwie’s page sits within their premier league betting tips.

What it means on the day

If Everton win: it consolidates a solid autumn — 21 points already and the sense that home games like this are controllable. The clean-sheet habit in recent away fixtures would start to echo at Goodison.

If Forest spring it: it validates that Liverpool and Wolves weren’t outliers, and that the higher-variance profile can still deliver on tricky trips. Another flat attacking display, though, would only revive the debate about their consistency after those two defeats to Brighton and Malmo.

Most likely, this is decided by small details: Forest’s set-piece supply versus Everton’s late-game conversion edge, and whether the tone resembles the many narrow head‑to‑heads that have defined this fixture in the last few seasons.