Tottenham host Fulham in a fixture that carries more weight than the table position suggests: Thomas Frank‘s side arrive bruised after consecutive heavy results, while Fulham have oscillated between compact, disciplined displays and blunt attacking evenings this season.
Recent context: a turbulent week for Spurs
Tottenham enter this game on the back of a painful run. Radio and national reports captured two headline results: a 4-1 defeat by Arsenal in which Eberechi Eze scored a hat‑trick and a 5-3 loss to Paris Saint‑Germain. The manager has publicly apologised for the Arsenal performance and, at the same time, said he was “pleased” with the response at PSG — a mixed message that underlines the current tonal inconsistency around the club.
Fulham have not been free of wobbles either. Their season figures show a team scoring a decent amount across 12 league games but conceding enough to sit with a negative goal difference; recent fixtures in the last five show defeats and tight losses, highlighting both defensive vulnerabilities and a lack of clinical edge at times.
Form and trends
The clearest divergence between the teams is tempo and efficiency. Tottenham’s attacking numbers suggest they create and convert more frequently on the minutes-per-goal metric, while Fulham are more variable but have seen a higher share of both-team-to-score outcomes.
| Key indicator |  Tottenham TOT |  Fulham FUL |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS (season) | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 (last 5) | 60% | 40% |
| Scored first (season) | 60% | 42% |
| Minutes per goal (for) | 45 | 83.1 |
| Minutes per goal (against) | 64.3 | 67.5 |
Season snapshot — where the numbers matter
Simple season totals emphasise where pressure builds. Tottenham have accumulated a modest goals-for tally across their sample; Fulham have scored slightly more overall but carry a negative goal difference that tells a story of inconsistency at both ends.
| Season metric | Tottenham TOT | Fulham FUL |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for (season) | 10 | 13 |
| Goals against (season) | 7 | 16 |
| Clean sheets (season) | 5/36 | 12/20 |
| Shots on target (season) | 17 | 44 |
Head-to-head and recent meetings
Their recent history is competitive: across the last ten meetings the balance has tilted toward Tottenham, but Fulham have recorded notable victories, including some decisive scorelines. Expect a fixture where familiarity feeds tidy tactical planning from both managers.
| Last 10 H2H | Tottenham TOT | Fulham FUL |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 (50%) | 2 (20%) |
| Goals (last 10) | 11 | 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 10) | 3 | 2 |
Market view and likely shape of the game
Market metrics in the build-up give a clear, cautious read: the probability edge sits with the hosts, but the fixture leans toward low margins and a realistic chance both teams score. That aligns with the season BTTS and over/under profiles for both sides.
| Market indicator | Tottenham TOT | Fulham FUL |
|---|---|---|
| Match winner (probability) | 43% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 (market) | UNDER 2.5 (51%) | UNDER 2.5 (51%) |
| BTTS market | YES 56% | YES 56% |
What to expect
If Tottenham reproduce the high-possession, attacking metrics that give them a good chance of scoring first, they will be fancied to take control — but the recent defensive lapses make the contest nervy. Fulham, by contrast, look safer in organised moments and will aim to punish space, particularly given Tottenham’s recent goals‑against pattern.
In short: a narrow Tottenham favourite on form and market probability, but a match where both teams have clear pathways to influence the result. A home victory would steady the mood after heavy defeats; a positive Fulham result would underline their ability to unsettle larger sides and deepen questions around Spurs’ defensive coherence.