Saturday’s scheduled Serie A meeting brings a clear contrast in recent narratives. Juventus arrive having produced a string of mixed results across domestic and European games, while Cagliari occupy the lower half of the table and have been dogged by low-scoring draws and defensive leaks. The numbers in this preview explain why the fixture looks like a test of two different problems: Juventus’ difficulty turning control into consistent wins, and Cagliari’s struggle for attacking rhythm.
Where each team stands
Juventus carry a profile of a team that creates chances but frequently shares points: season data shows a high BTTS rate and plenty of shots on target, but a run of draws has limited their points haul. Cagliari sit 14th with 11 points from 12 matches — just two wins, five draws — and a negative goal difference that underlines how fragile they have been at both ends.
| Season snapshot |  Juventus JUV |  Cagliari CAG |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored (season) | 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target (season) | 40 | 39 |
| Shot conversion | 25% | 31% |
| BTTS (Yes % season) | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 (season) | 60% | 33% |
Recent form and momentum
Both teams have been producing draws rather than emphatic wins. Juventus’ last five fixtures include Europa and Champions League ties and domestic stalemates, while Cagliari’s recent run features several 0–0/low-scoring outcomes plus a 3–3 draw away at Genoa. Those patterns shape expectations: Juventus are more likely to make chances; Cagliari often need to squeeze points from tight games.
| Last 5 — key trends | Juventus JUV | Cagliari CAG |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS (last 5) | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 (last 5) | 40% | 60% |
| Scored first (last 5) | 40% | 0% |
| Minutes per goal (For, last 5) | 64.3 | 75 |
| Avg corners (for, last 5) | 5.2 | 3.2 |
Tactical match-up: where the danger lies
Statistically, Juventus produce more chances and generate set-piece pressure — their corners and shots metrics are superior. Cagliari compensate with a higher shot conversion figure, which suggests they can be dangerous on fewer opportunities, especially in the 31–45 minute window where their scoring concentration sits. Cagliari’s season average of one goal every 90 minutes marks them as blunt overall, but their conversion means a clinical chance could punish Juventus.
| Tactical indicators | Juventus JUV | Cagliari CAG |
|---|---|---|
| Top scoring minute window | 46–60 (40%) | 31–45 (33%) |
| Min/goal (Against, season) | 45 | 63.5 |
| Avg fouls committed (season) | 16.4 | 16.25 |
| Avg cards received (season) | 1.8 | 2.42 |
| Clean sheets (season sample) | 34/36 (data set) | 18/20 (data set) |
Recent results (last five) — quick reference
How each side has been finishing matches is important for assessing mentality. Juventus have alternated tight wins with draws, while Cagliari’s sequence is heavy on draws and one comfortable loss at Lazio.
| Last 5 results | Juventus JUV | Cagliari CAG |
|---|---|---|
| Result 1 | Bodo/Glimt 2–3 Juventus (25 Nov 2025) | Genoa 3–3 Cagliari (22 Nov 2025) |
| Result 2 | Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus (22 Nov 2025) | Como 0–0 Cagliari (08 Nov 2025) |
| Result 3 | Torino 0–0 Juventus (08 Nov 2025) | Lazio 2–0 Cagliari (03 Nov 2025) |
| Result 4 | Sporting CP 1–1 Juventus (04 Nov 2025) | Sassuolo 1–2 Cagliari (30 Oct 2025) |
| Result 5 | Cremonese 1–2 Juventus (01 Nov 2025) | Verona 2–2 Cagliari (26 Oct 2025) |
What to expect and possible scenarios
This fixture shapes as a game where Juventus should dominate possession and chances but may struggle to put the result beyond doubt — their recent propensity for draws remains a red flag. Cagliari, compact and capable of converting the few chances they get, will look to frustrate and hit on the break or from set plays.
Three realistic scenarios:
- A Juventus win: expected if they convert the clear numerical superiority in shots and corners into goals. A victory would ease pressure and set up tougher away trips to Napoli and others.
- A narrow Cagliari draw or shock win: possible if Juventus fail to find cutting edge and Cagliari make the most of their conversion rate. That outcome would further highlight Juventus’ inability to close out games and boost Cagliari’s survival hopes.
- Low-scoring stalemate: consistent with recent patterns for both teams — Juventus’ draws and Cagliari’s conservative approach — leaving both camps with mixed feelings about performance over points.
Kick-off is scheduled for 30 November 2025 at 15:00 GMT. The statistics suggest an open match in terms of chance creation, but not necessarily a high-scoring one: the key question is whether Juventus can turn possession into a decisive result or whether Cagliari’s efficiency will keep the hosts waiting for three points.