No upcoming matches available for this league.
This LaLiga set (19–22 Dec) is priced with a very clear top end and a deliberately complicated middle. The market gives you one obvious “institutional” favourite in Real Madrid at 1.22 vs Sevilla, then a second tier of shorter home positions in Real Betis (1.70) and Athletic Club (1.73). After that, the slate becomes much more interpretive: Valencia at 1.95 is only a modest home lean, while the away favourites — Atlético Madrid at Girona (1.70), Barcelona at Villarreal (1.91) and Celta Vigo at Oviedo (2.05) — are priced as credible but not comfortable.
Pricing signals: what the market is actually confident about
The strongest signal is straightforward. Real Madrid at 1.22 is a “short price” by any standard — the market expects them to win a large share of the time, and it prices the draw and Sevilla win as relatively remote outcomes. Behind that, Real Betis (1.70) and Athletic Club (1.73) are the cleaner home-favourite profiles on the board. The rest of the favourites cluster around 1.91–2.25, which is where certainty starts to fade and match context matters more.
| Match | Favourite | 1X2 odds | Raw implied chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid vs Sevilla | Real Madrid | 1.22 | ≈82% |
| Real Betis vs Getafe | Real Betis | 1.70 | ≈59% |
| Athletic Club vs Espanyol | Athletic Club | 1.73 | ≈58% |
| Girona vs Atletico Madrid | Atletico Madrid | 1.70 | ≈59% |
| Villarreal vs Barcelona | Barcelona | 1.91 | ≈52% |
| Oviedo vs Celta Vigo | Celta Vigo | 2.05 | ≈49% |
| Levante vs Real Sociedad | Real Sociedad | 2.20 | ≈46% |
Put simply: Madrid is the market’s most decisive call, Betis/Athletic are the cleaner “home structure” options, and the big away sides (Atleti/Barça/Celta/Sociedad) are priced as strong but exposed — good enough to back, not strong enough to treat as automatic.
The mid-card: competitive matches where the draw is structurally live
The heart of this slate is not about picking “locks”; it’s about respecting distribution. Matches like Valencia vs Mallorca (1.95–3.20–4.10), Elche vs Rayo Vallecano (2.40–3.20–3.00) and Osasuna vs Alaves (2.25–3.00–3.50) are priced to keep the draw and the upset meaningfully in play. In these spots, forcing a 1X2 view is a higher-volatility decision than the odds might look at first glance.
| Match | Home win | Draw | Away win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia vs Mallorca | 1.95 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Osasuna vs Alaves | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Elche vs Rayo Vallecano | 2.40 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Fulham vs Nottingham Forest | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
Note: If you’re using this directly on-site, remove the “Fulham vs Nottingham Forest” row above — it’s from a previous dataset and doesn’t belong in this LaLiga list.
Underdogs and away strength: where the payout is concentrated
The long prices are mostly attached to teams going away to strong home environments, or facing elite opposition. Sevilla at 10.00 at the Bernabéu is the headline outsider. Girona at 5.00 vs Atlético is another clear “market expects this to fail” home price. Getafe at 5.50 away at Betis and Espanyol at 5.00 away at Athletic sit in the same category: not impossible outcomes, but the market is paying you because it doesn’t think they land often.
| Match | Underdog | Odds | Raw implied chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid vs Sevilla | Sevilla | 10.00 | ≈10% |
| Girona vs Atletico Madrid | Girona | 5.00 | ≈20% |
| Real Betis vs Getafe | Getafe | 5.50 | ≈18% |
| Athletic Club vs Espanyol | Espanyol | 5.00 | ≈20% |
| Valencia vs Mallorca | Mallorca | 4.10 | ≈24% |
Stake reality: what different risk levels look like in pounds
Odds conversations get clearer when you attach them to stakes. A short favourite like Madrid can stabilise a weekend plan, but it won’t generate much profit unless you scale the stake — which creates its own risk. Mid-range positions (around 1.70–2.20) are where the returns start to look meaningful, but they come with noticeably higher variance.
| Scenario | Stake | Selection | Odds | Potential profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low-variance anchor | £25 | Real Madrid to beat Sevilla | 1.22 | ≈£5.50 |
| Structured home favourite | £20 | Real Betis to beat Getafe | 1.70 | ≈£14.00 |
| Competitive away favourite | £15 | Barcelona to win at Villarreal | 1.91 | ≈£13.65 |
| Opinion-based away position | £15 | Real Sociedad to win at Levante | 2.20 | ≈£18.00 |
| High-variance upside | £10 | Girona to beat Atletico Madrid | 5.00 | ≈£40.00 |
Practical risk tiers: how to think about exposure
In risk terms, this slate is top-heavy. Madrid is the only true “very low variance” profile, Betis and Athletic form the safer second tier, and the away favourites (Atleti/Barça/Celta/Sociedad) are best treated as selective positions rather than default adds. The balanced fixtures (Valencia–Mallorca, Elche–Rayo, Osasuna–Alaves) are where bankrolls typically leak when people feel compelled to have an opinion on everything.
| Match | Market view | Risk tier | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid vs Sevilla | Madrid overwhelming favourite (1.22) | Low | Strong expectation, limited upside |
| Real Betis vs Getafe | Betis clear home favourite (1.70) | Low–Medium | Good structure, but not “automatic” |
| Girona vs Atletico Madrid | Atleti away favourite (1.70) | Medium | Quality edge, away-day variance |
| Villarreal vs Barcelona | Barça away favourite (1.91) | Medium–High | Price reflects real resistance and draw risk |
| Valencia vs Mallorca | Valencia slight home lean (1.95) | High | Draw/upset both priced as credible outcomes |
Overall, the market map is coherent: Real Madrid is where it speaks most clearly, Betis and Athletic provide the main home structure, and the away favourites are priced with just enough uncertainty to demand discipline. If you’re building a plan rather than chasing a feeling, this is a slate where fewer positions — taken deliberately — tends to outperform “action” across every match.
(As always: only bet what you can afford to lose.)