Osasuna host Levante on 07 December 2025 (kick-off 15:00 GMT) in a La Liga fixture in which both sides will be desperate for points. The home side arrive with 12 points from 14 matches (12 goals scored, 18 conceded), while the visitors have 9 points from 14 (16 scored, 26 conceded). The raw numbers underline two teams struggling for consistency: Osasuna have a marginally better defensive record, Levante have found the net more often but shipped far too many goals.
What the numbers say
The statistical picture is clear: this is a low-scoring, tight fixture on paper. The market model in the available data gives a narrow edge to Osasuna and points toward games with limited goal output — a combination that will shape how both coaches approach Sunday’s match.
| Season snapshot | Osasuna OSA | Levante LEV |
|---|---|---|
| Games played (GP) | 14 | 14 |
| Points | 12 | 9 |
| Goals for | 12 | 16 |
| Goals against | 18 | 26 |
| Goal difference | -6 | -10 |
Recent trends (last five matches)
Form over the immediate run suggests different risk profiles. Osasuna’s recent matches show better attacking frequency (shorter minutes per goal in the last five), while Levante’s numbers point to volatility: they score early (top minute window 0–15) but concede frequently and quickly.
| Last 5 – key indicators | Osasuna OSA | Levante LEV |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS (Yes %) | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 (%) | 60% | 60% |
| Scored first (%) | 40% | 20% |
| Min/goal (for) | 56.3 | 75.0 |
| Min/goal (against) | 75.0 | 40.9 |
Head-to-head and context
History between these clubs in the dataset favours Osasuna. Over the head-to-head sample provided, Osasuna have the better record in wins and goals — an important psychological advantage when fixtures involve relegation-fight type intensity.
| Head-to-head (summary) | Osasuna OSA | Levante LEV |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (sample) | 5 (50%) | 3 (30%) |
| Goals (in sample) | 14 | 8 |
| Clean sheets (sample) | 5 | 3 |
| Most recent listed H2H (given) | Osasuna 3–1 Levante (19 Mar 2022) | |
Market signals and interpretation
The available model data gives Osasuna a narrow probability edge. Alongside that, indicators point to a low-scoring outcome and a tendency toward one side keeping the other quiet — all of which suggests a tightly contested match rather than an open, high-scoring affair.
| Market indicators | Osasuna OSA | Levante LEV |
|---|---|---|
| Match winner (model) | 52% | – |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 (51%) | – |
| BTTS (model) | No (58%) | – |
| Market pick (headline) | Osasuna (favoured) | — |
How this could play out
Osasuna’s modest goals tally and slightly better defensive numbers suggest they will set up to frustrate rather than overwhelm. Levante are capable of early strikes (their top minute window is 0–15), but their tendency to concede quickly makes them vulnerable if they push forward.
Possible scenarios:
- A low-scoring home win for Osasuna would confirm the market edge and ease pressure on their campaign; game management after an early goal would be crucial.
- A draw (0–0 or 1–1) suits the statistical lean towards under 2.5 goals and the models’ BTTS=no signal — both teams have shown difficulty in sustaining attacking momentum.
- An away win for Levante would underline that their attacking edge (16 season goals) can be decisive despite defensive fragility; it would also raise questions about Osasuna’s ability to close out home fixtures.
Either way, the numbers point to a tight, tactical contest where small margins and a moment of concentration (or lack of it) will decide the outcome.