The La Liga meeting between Villarreal and Getafe arrives on 7 December 2025 (15:00 GMT) with two teams travelling very different trajectories. Villarreal bring clear superiority from the opening months of the season — 32 points from 14 games, a 10-2-2 record and 29 goals scored — while Getafe have been more erratic (20 points from 14, 6-2-6) and have managed just 13 goals so far.
Head-to-head edge
Recent history favours the hosts. In the head-to-head summary available, Villarreal have dominated the fixture and scored more than twice what Getafe have managed.
| Key indicator |  Villarreal VIL |  Getafe GET |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (head‑to‑head) | 13 | 6 |
| Wins (head‑to‑head) | 6 | 0 |
| Clean sheets (head‑to‑head) | 4 | 2 |
Season comparison — where the gaps are
Villarreal’s league form is consistent: ten wins from 14, a +16 goal difference and more goals scored than most. Getafe, by contrast, have an underwhelming defensive record and a negative goal difference.
| Key indicator | Villarreal VIL | Getafe GET |
|---|---|---|
| Points (GP14) | 32 | 20 |
| Record (W‑D‑L) | 10‑2‑2 | 6‑2‑6 |
| Goals For – Against | 29–13 | 13–15 |
| Goal difference | +16 | ‑2 |
| BTTS (This season) | 50% | 36% |
Key matchups — attack vs opportunity
The numbers underline a familiar story: Villarreal carry greater attacking threat and create more shots on target; Getafe are much more conservative in front of goal. That imbalance should shape the game plan for both coaches.
| Key indicator | Villarreal VIL | Getafe GET |
|---|---|---|
| Season goals for | 29 | 13 |
| Shots on target (season) | 71 | 40 |
| Shot conversion (season) | 41% | 33% |
| Top minute window | 16–30 | 46–60 |
Set pieces, discipline and match control
Beyond goals, the details matter. Villarreal average slightly fewer corners than Getafe but commit fewer fouls per game — an indication that Getafe’s physical approach can be costly in possession battles and in accumulating cards.
| Key indicator | Villarreal VIL | Getafe GET |
|---|---|---|
| Avg corners (for) | 4.43 | 4.93 |
| Avg fouls committed | 12.14 | 15.14 |
| Avg cards received | 2.57 | 2.57 |
| Clean sheets (season indicator) | 2/20 | 9/20 |
Prediction context and possible scenarios
Market signals in the available data favour Villarreal — a 66% match-winner probability is quoted — while the model leans slightly towards a low-scoring game (Under 2.5 at 55%) but also gives BTTS a healthy chance (60%). Those figures highlight an important tension: Villarreal are more likely to win, but Getafe still find ways to score in a fair share of matches.
Three plausible outcomes and what they would mean:
- Villarreal win (most likely): Confirms the hosts’ season-long form and keeps pressure on the top of the table; would underline their offensive consistency and reward control of possession.
- Low-scoring stalemate: Reflects the market’s Under 2.5 lean — a disciplined Getafe defensive display could frustrate Villarreal and force questions about the hosts’ ability to turn dominance into goals against organised opponents.
- Getafe shock and goal(s): If Getafe exploit set pieces or quick transitions, they could steal a result; such an outcome would expose vulnerabilities in Villarreal’s defensive focus and increase scrutiny on their ability to perform in routine league fixtures.
Villarreal’s quality and form make them favourites on paper, but Getafe’s physicality and occasional efficiency on the break mean this is unlikely to be a one-way exhibition. Expect a tactical game where small margins — set pieces, conversions and concentration late on — will decide the outcome.